Rational Responses to Uncertainty - "Ed Shocks"

Funded by the Russell Sage Foundation

This mixed methods study with Nicholas Papageorge (Economics, JHU) examines how beliefs about educational attainment and anticipated adverse shocks (e.g., evictions, incarcerations or deaths of family members, or violence) relate to educational plans and actual attainment for disadvantaged youth. The project is methodologically unique in that qualitative data gathered through open ended interviews of students making decisions will be used to specify a structural econometric model of post-secondary educational decision-making. In turn, the structural model will shed light on what kinds of additional data should be collected to estimate parameters of a model that could be used to evaluate how counterfactual policies can improve outcomes.

Papers

DeLuca, Stefanie, Nicholas Papageorge, Joseph Boselovic, Seth Gershenson, Andrew Gray, Kiara Nerenberg, Jasmine Sausedo and Allison Young. "When Anything Can Happen": Anticipated Adversity and Postsecondary Decision-Making.

Young, Allison and Stefanie DeLuca. “I Don’t Want to Rush Everything and End Up Where I Started” Disadvantaged Youth, College Choice, and the Reverse Life Course. (Under review)

 

Presentations

Young, Allison and Stefanie DeLuca. “I Don’t Want to Rush Everything and End Up Where I Started” Disadvantaged Youth, College Choice, and the Reverse Life Course. ASA, 2020, San Francisco.

DeLuca, Stefanie, Kiara Nerenberg and Joseph Boselovic. “‘Getting Knocked Back’: How the Anticipation of Instability Shapes Post-Secondary Decision-Making.” ASA, 2019, New York.

DeLuca, Stefanie, Kiara Nerenberg and Joseph Boselovic. “I might not even make it to the future: Negative Shocks and Post-Secondary Decision-Making.” ESS 2019, Boston.